PW
Perella Weinberg Partners (PWP)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: Revenue of $0.212B, up 107% y/y; Adjusted EPS $0.28 and GAAP diluted EPS $0.24, with GAAP operating margin 5.5% and adjusted operating margin 9.7% .
- Announcements slowed post early-April U.S. policy actions (tariffs/trade), but management emphasized clients are pausing, not terminating; pipeline strong, announced/pending backlog down from record levels .
- Non-compensation expenses elevated by litigation; CFO flagged >$11M in Q1 litigation costs and maintained guidance for a single-digit full‑year non-comp increase; adjusted tax rate ex-stock comp benefit guided to ~29.5% for the remainder of 2025 .
- Capital returns continue: $121.3M returned in Q1, dividend maintained at $0.07/share, $111.2M cash and no debt at quarter-end; proactive buybacks and unit exchanges executed .
- Accounting nuance: ~$23M of closings from early Q2 were recorded in Q1 under relevant accounting principles; investors should normalize for timing in quarterly trend analysis .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Highest Q1 on record; revenue up across products, sectors, geographies, driven by larger fees per transaction. “Our first quarter revenues represented our highest Q1 on record...” — Andrew Bednar (CEO) .
- Restructuring/liability management demand surged starting in April amid market volatility; firm quickly pivoting resources to client needs .
- Talent momentum: Four MDs added YTD; additional partners/MDs joining in coming months, leaning into growth in healthcare, software, financials, industrials .
What Went Wrong
- Macro/policy uncertainty (tariffs/trade) slowed deal announcements; backlog declined from records despite strong engagement metrics .
- Non-compensation expenses rose materially due to litigation (over $11M in Q1), pressuring margins; adjusted non-compensation $49.3M vs $37.0M y/y .
- Compensation ratio remained elevated at 67% adjusted (70% GAAP); management expects leverage over time but noted ratio may adjust as the year progresses .
Financial Results
Quarterly Comparison (oldest → newest)
Note: Q1 includes ~$23M of closings from early Q2 recorded in Q1 under GAAP .
Year-over-Year (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
Segment Breakdown
- Not disclosed; revenues were higher across product lines, sectors, and geographies, driven by larger transactions and fee events .
KPIs (oldest → newest)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our first quarter revenues represented our highest Q1 on record and demonstrate the strength of our brand across industries and geographies.” — Andrew Bednar, CEO .
- “Policy action from the U.S. government at the start of April… have slowed [deal announcements]. Our clients are… awaiting clarity on ultimate tariff and trade policy.” — Bednar .
- “Our adjusted non‑compensation expense of $49 million… included more than $10 million of litigation‑related costs… Our prior guidance of a single‑digit increase in non‑comp expense for the full year 2025 remains our best estimate.” — Alexandra Gottschalk, CFO .
- “Excluding [stock comp vesting] impact, the adjusted tax rate would have been 29.5%, in line with our tax rate expectation for the remainder of the year.” — Gottschalk .
Q&A Highlights
- M&A backdrop: Clients tapping brakes amid volatility; interest in M&A intact; management anticipates sharper activity as policy clarity improves, more akin to post‑COVID re‑acceleration than prolonged slog .
- Non‑M&A businesses: Liability management/restructuring demand strong; brand compounding; firm mobilizes for financing/balance sheet advisory as needs arise .
- Europe vs U.S.: Europe unified, more accommodative regulatory backdrop; both regions pausing pending tariff clarity; thin layer of ice expected to thaw .
- Compensation ratio: 67% reflects best estimate; could adjust with recruiting/performance; committed to providing leverage over time .
- Non‑compensation/litigation: >$11M litigation spend in Q1 tied to trial; seasonal, not expected to recur; single-digit y/y non‑comp increase for FY maintained .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for Q1 2025 and recent quarters; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus EPS and revenue estimates at this time (values attempted via S&P Global).
- Given the lack of consensus data, investors should focus on year‑over‑year outperformance and qualitative drivers (macro/tariffs, litigation normalization, restructuring demand) when updating models .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue strength and positive EPS reflect franchise momentum, but the inclusion of ~$23M of early‑Q2 closings in Q1 and elevated litigation spend suggest near‑term noise; normalize for timing and one‑offs in trend analysis .
- Macro/policy uncertainty is the primary overhang; management sees “pause” rather than cancellations and expects activity to re‑accelerate as tariff/trade clarity improves — a potential catalyst for shares when policy ranges narrow .
- Restructuring/liability management is a bright spot benefiting from volatility; pipeline is strong, providing an offset if M&A announcements remain slower near term .
- Operating leverage remains a medium‑term thesis: adjusted comp ratio at 67% with commitment to leverage; watch for mix shift, recruiting productivity, and non‑comp normalization post‑litigation .
- Capital discipline continues: $121.3M returned in Q1, dividend consistent at $0.07/share, cash of $111.2M and no debt; proactive share count management supports per‑share value accretion .
- Tax normalization: excluding stock comp vesting benefits, adjusted tax rate guided to ~29.5% for the remainder of 2025; factor into model updates for run‑rate EPS .
- Europe may modestly outpace U.S. near term on regulatory flexibility; diversified geography and product mix should help navigate policy headwinds .